Oil Shale - If Not Now, Why Not Now?

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U.S. oil shale deposits are estimated to contain petroleum deposits potentially extractable by retorting with a mid-point volume estimate of 800 billion barrels (approximately three times the Saudi Arabian proven reserves). Some upper-bound estimates place this volume at over 2 trillion barrels (more than the current total worldwide proven reserves of about 1.2 trillion barrels - for another comparison, Canadian tar sands contain less than 200 billion barrels of estimated reserves).

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I believe that in situ retorting using freeze wall technology (although never attempted on a large scale) is a promising technology with a projected production (finding plus lifting) cost in the $30 per barrel range (this compares to about a little less than $10 per barrel for Saudi Arabian crude and about $20 per barrel for Wilmington (Long Beach) crude).

There are three major hurdles to shale oil production - initial infrastructure investment, environmental impacts to the Rocky Mountain region, and the veracity of "proven reserve" estimates of conventional oil sources.